Primetime Ratings, Friday, 4/11/14

ABC and CBS split the 18-49 demo win, while CBS drew the most total viewers.

'Last Man Standing' took a small tumble, falling two tenths to a 1.2. The season and (most likely series) finale of 'The Neighbors' matched last week's 0.9. 'Shark Tank' posted a 1.8, down two tenths from last Friday, but up a single tenth from Thursday's special airing. '20/20' matched last week's 1.5.

'Unforgettable' rose ever so slightly to a 1.0 to begin the Eye's night. 'Hawaii Five-0' dropped one tenth to a 1.3. 'Blue Bloods' also dropped a tenth, earning a 1.4. The season premiere of FOX's 'Kitchen Nightmares' scored a 1.2, up three tenths from last season's opener. A second new episode earned a 1.1, also up from last season's second installment.

An NBC News special about the Boston Bombings scored an underwhelming 0.7 demo, and a little less than four million total viewers. That's down four tenths from what 'Dateline' earned in the same slot last Friday. 'Grimm' followed that up by dipping three tenths to a 1.1. 'Hannibal' fell to a 0.7, matching its previous series low. I considered downgrading it, but if it can survive a 0.7 once, it can do it again. As for The CW, 'Whose Line Is It Anyway?' matched last week's 0.4, while 'Hart of Dixie' rose to a 0.3.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

8PM

ABC - Last Man Standing (N) - 1.2 - 5 - 5.90

FOX - Kitchen Nightmares (Season Premiere) - 1.2 - 5 - 3.07

CBS - Unforgettable (N) - 1.0 - 4 - 7.59

NBC - 108 Hours: Inside the Hunt for the Boston Marathon Bombers (N) - 0.7 - 3 - 3.70

CW - Whose Line is it Anyway? (N) - 0.4 - 2 - 1.36

8:30PM

ABC - The Neighbors (N) - 0.9 - 3 - 4.06

CW - Whose Line is it Anyway? (R) - 0.4 - 2 - 1.31

9PM

ABC - Shark Tank (N) - 1.8 - 6 - 6.95

CBS - Hawaii Five-0 (N) - 1.3 - 5 - 9.17

NBC - Grimm (N) - 1.1 - 4 - 4.73

FOX - Kitchen Nightmares (N) - 1.1 - 4 - 2.90

CW - Hart of Dixie (N) - 0.3 - 1 - 0.81

10PM

ABC - 20/20 (N) - 1.5 - 5 - 5.77

CBS - Blue Bloods (N) - 1.4 - 5 - 11.05

NBC - Hannibal (N) - 0.7 - 2 - 2.25

Source: Nielsen Media Research

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

Note: Ratings expectations for shows airing on Friday night are generally lower.

Last Man Standing - Guaranteed Renewal

The Neighbors - Guaranteed Cancellation

Unforgettable - Already Renewed

Hawaii Five-0 - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

Blue Bloods - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

Hart of Dixie - Likely Renewal

Rake - Guaranteed Cancellation

Enlisted - Guaranteed Cancellation

Raising Hope - Guaranteed Cancellation Canceled 3/10/14 *Correct Prediction

Grimm - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/19/14 *Correct Prediction

Hannibal - Likely Renewal

Prediction Stats

Shows correctly predicted (so far) - 22
ABC - Mind Games, Once Upon a Time in Wonderland
CBS - 2 Broke Girls, The Big Bang Theory, Blue Bloods, Criminal Minds, CSI, Elementary, The Good Wife, Hawaii Five-0, The Millers, NCIS, NCIS: Los Angeles, Person of Interest, Two and a Half Men
FOX - Brooklyn Nine-Nine, New Girl, Raising Hope
NBC - Chicago Fire, Chicago P.D., Grimm, Parks and Recreation

Shows incorrectly predicted (so far) - 3 - The Following, The Mindy Project, Mom

Current accuracy rate: 88%