Primetime Ratings, Sunday, 4/6/14

CBS won Sunday night in all measures.

Without March Madness games leading off this week, '60 Minutes' plunged down a point and a half to a 1.3. The 2014 'Academy of Country Music Awards' earned a 3.3, down a full point from last year's 4.3. 'America's Funniest Home Videos' started ABC's night by rising a tenth to a 1.4.

'Once Upon a Time' shot up three tenths to a 2.4. 'Resurrection' dipped two more tenths to a 2.2, and while I think a renewal is still far more likely than not, I'm starting to have doubts. 'Revenge' stayed mostly consistent, dipping a tenth to a 1.3.

'Bob's Burgers' fell to a 0.9 to kick off FOX's animation block. 'American Dad' decreased two tenths to a 1.2. 'The Simpsons' matched the 1.9 it's drawn for the last two weeks. The only FOX program to rise was 'Family Guy,' which bumped up two tenths to a 2.3. 'Cosmos' matched last week's 1.5.

An Ann Curry hosted NBC News special drew a paltry 0.6 for the Peacock, coming in dead last at 7 p.m. 'American Dream Builders' dropped again in week three, posting a 0.7. 'Believe' and 'Crisis' continue to go down in flames side by side, falling to matching 1.0s. Then again, a 1.0 looks almost impressive when compared to the rest of NBC's Sunday line-up.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

7PM

ABC - America's Funniest Home Videos (N) - 1.4 - 4 - 6.41

CBS - 60 Minutes (N) - 1.3 - 4 - 10.13

FOX - Bob's Burgers (N) - 0.9 - 3 - 2.27

NBC - Ann Curry Reports: Our Year of Extremes (N) - 0.6 - 2 - 4.12

7:30PM

FOX - American Dad (N) - 1.2 - 4 - 2.68

8PM

CBS - Academy of County Music Awards (N) - 3.3 - 8 - 14.17

ABC - Once Upon a Time (N) - 2.4 - 6 - 7.26

FOX - The Simpsons (N) - 1.9 - 5 - 4.30

NBC - American Dream Builders (N) - 0.7 - 2 - 2.92

8:30PM

FOX - Family Guy (N) - 2.3 - 6 - 4.77

9PM

ABC - Resurrection (N) - 2.2 - 5 - 8.05

FOX - Cosmos: A Spacetime Odyssey (N) - 1.5 - 4 - 3.98

NBC - Believe (N) - 1.0 - 2 - 4.25

10PM

ABC - Revenge (N) - 1.3 - 3 - 5.16

NBC - Crisis (N) - 1.0 - 3 - 4.47

Source: Nielsen Media Research

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

Once Upon a Time - Guaranteed Renewal

Resurrection - Guaranteed Renewal

Revenge - Guaranteed Renewal

The Good Wife - Likely Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

The Mentalist - Likely Cancellation

No Scripted Programming Available

The Simpsons - Already Renewed

Bob's Burgers - Already Renewed

Family Guy - Guaranteed Renewal

American Dad - Already Renewed (by TBS)

Believe - Likely Cancellation

Crisis - Likely Cancellation

Prediction Stats

Shows correctly predicted (so far) - 22
ABC - Mind Games, Once Upon a Time in Wonderland
CBS - 2 Broke Girls, The Big Bang Theory, Blue Bloods, Criminal Minds, CSI, Elementary, The Good Wife, Hawaii Five-0, The Millers, NCIS, NCIS: Los Angeles, Person of Interest, Two and a Half Men
FOX - Brooklyn Nine-Nine, New Girl, Raising Hope
NBC - Chicago Fire, Chicago P.D., Grimm, Parks and Recreation

Shows incorrectly predicted (so far) - 3 - The Following, The Mindy Project, Mom

Current accuracy rate: 88%