Primetime Ratings, Tuesday, 3/18/14

 

 

NBC won the 18-49 demo race, while CBS drew the most total viewers.

'The Voice' rose a single tenth to a 3.6, easily topping the night in demos. 'About A Boy' continues to show staying power beyond most NBC comedies, rising a tenth to a 2.1. 'Growing Up Fisher' did the same, rising a tenth to a 1.8. 'Chicago Fire' matched the 1.9 it's drawn the last two weeks, rounding out an altogether positive night for the Peacock.

CBS' Tuesday line-up returned to mixed ratings, leaning up. 'NCIS' dropped a single tenth to a 2.4, although it still crushed the competition in total viewers. 'NCIS: LA' rose up two tenths from its last new episode's series low, posting a 2.3. 'Person of Interest' failed to improve on the all-time low it drew two weeks ago, once again earning a 1.7.

A Marvel Studios-related special earned a 1.5 for ABC, down a whopping six tenths from what a new 'Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D' episode scored in the same slot last week. Surprisingly, the weaker lead-in didn't effect 'The Goldbergs,' which rose two tenths to a 1.7. 'Trophy Wife' broke the 1.0 ceiling for the first time in months, although that certainly won't save it from the ax. 'Mind Games' remained in its usual "please cancel me" range, posting a 0.7.

The 100th episode of 'Glee' rose two tenths to a 1.1, which really isn't that impressive when all of its hype is taken into account. Airing behind a rerun of 'New Girl' for the first time since it moved to 9:30, 'Brooklyn Nine-Nine' set a new series low of 1.1. As for The CW, 'The Originals' fell to a new series low of 0.7, while 'Supernatural' matched its last new outing's 0.9.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

8PM

NBC - The Voice (N) - 3.6 - 11 - 13.29

CBS - NCIS (N) - 2.4 - 8 - 17.11

ABC - Marvel Studios: Assembling a Universe (N) - 1.5 - 5 - 4.09

FOX - Glee (N) - 1.1 - 3 - 2.80

CW - The Originals (N) - 0.7 - 2 - 1.53

9PM

CBS - NCIS: Los Angeles (N) - 2.3 - 6 - 14.21

NBC - About A Boy (N) - 2.1 - 6 - 7.61

ABC - The Goldbergs (N) - 1.7 - 5 - 4.74

CW - Supernatural (N) - 0.9 - 2 - 1.86

FOX - New Girl (R) - 0.7 - 2 - 1.57

9:30PM

NBC - Growing Up Fisher (N) - 1.8 - 5 - 6.60

FOX - Brooklyn Nine-Nine (N) - 1.1 - 3 - 2.50

ABC - Trophy Wife (N) - 1.0 - 3 - 3.22

10PM

NBC - Chicago Fire (N) - 1.9 - 6 - 6.96

CBS - Person of Interest (N) - 1.7 - 5 - 10.94

ABC - Mind Games (N) - 0.7 - 2 - 2.44

Source: Nielsen Media Research

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

Newly updated predictions are in bold.

Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. - Guaranteed Renewal

The Goldbergs - Likely Renewal

Trophy Wife - Guaranteed Cancellation

Mind Games - Guaranteed Cancellation

NCIS - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

NCIS: Los Angeles - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

Person of Interest - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/13/14 *Correct Prediction

The Originals - Already Renewed

Supernatural - Already Renewed

Glee - Already Renewed

New Girl - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/7/14 *Correct Prediction

Brookyln Nine-Nine - Likely Renewal Renewed 3/7/14 *Correct Prediction

The Mindy Project - Likely Cancellation Renewed 3/7/14 *Incorrect Prediction

About A Boy - Likely Renewal

Growing Up Fisher - Likely Renewal

Chicago Fire - Guaranteed Renewal Renewed 3/19/14 *Correct Prediction

Prediction Stats

Shows correctly predicted (so far) - 20 - 2 Broke Girls, The Big Bang Theory, Blue Bloods, Brooklyn Nine-Nine, Chicago Fire, Chicago PD, Criminal Minds, CSI, Elementary, The Good Wife, Grimm, Hawaii Five-0, The Millers, NCIS, NCIS: LA, New Girl, Parks and Recreation, Person of Interest, Raising Hope, Two and a Half Men

Shows incorrectly predicted (so far) - 3 - The Following, The Mindy Project, Mom

Current accuracy rate: 87%