Primetime Ratings, Wednesday, 3/5/14

 

 

FOX once again won Wednesday in all measures.

Speaking of which, 'American Idol' matched last week's 2.7, and seems to have hit a ratings wall as of late. Fellow reality mainstay 'Survivor' also matched last week, earning a 2.4 for CBS. 'Criminal Minds' has a great night, shooting up four tenths to a 2.6. Conversely, 'CSI' went tumbling down three tenths to a 2.0. Judging by the 'CSI's yo-yo like pattern, it'll probably gain those tenths back next week.

ABC recovered pretty well from last week's lows, with rises across the board. 'The Middle' began things by rising two tenths to a 1.9. 'Suburgatory' rose three tenths of its own, posting a 1.7, and is now far enough into its season for me to make a prediction of its renewal chances below.

'Modern Family' went flying up four tenths to a 3.4. 'Mixology' matched last week's 1.7, accomplishing the fairly rare feat of not dropping in week two. It's still too early to make a firm prediction though. 'Nashville' finished ABC's night by bumping up two tenths to a 1.5.

'Revolution' matched the 1.3 series low t's drawn the last two weeks, and is doing poorly enough to earn a downgraded prediction below. 'Law & Order: SVU' continued its own yo-yo pattern, falling four tenths to a 1.6.

The biggest shocker of the week was 'Chicago P.D.,' which dove off a cliff, plunging a staggering seven tenths to a series low 1.5. One bad week isn't enough to make me downgrade its renewal prediction, but it's definitely not a positive development. As for The CW, 'Arrow' and 'The Tomorrow People' both hit series lows. 'Arrow' is already renewed, but 'Tomorrow' just earned itself a downgrade.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

8PM

FOX - American Idol (N) - 2.7 - 8 - 10.53

CBS - Survivor (N) - 2.4 - 8 - 9.58

ABC - The Middle (N) - 1.9 - 6 - 7.32

NBC - Revolution (N) - 1.3 - 4 - 4.76

CW - Arrow (N) - 0.7 - 2 - 2.21

8:30PM

ABC - Suburgatory (N) - 1.7 - 5 - 5.72

9PM

ABC - Modern Family (N) - 3.4 - 10 - 9.22

CBS - Criminal Minds (N) - 2.6 - 7 - 11.42

NBC - Law & Order: SVU (N) - 1.6 - 4 - 6.01

CW - The Tomorrow People (N) - 0.4 - 1 - 1.24

9:30PM

ABC - Mixology (N) - 1.7 - 5 - 4.64

10PM

CBS - CSI (N) - 1.7 - 5 - 9.29

NBC - Chicago P.D. (N) - 1.5 - 4 - 6.05

ABC - Nashville (N) - 1.5 - 4 - 5.09

Source: Nielsen Media Research

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

Newly updated predictions are in bold.

The Middle - Likely Renewal

Suburgatory - Likely Renewal

Modern Family - Guaranteed Renewal

Mixology - Too Soon To Tell

Nashville - Likely Cancellation

Criminal Minds - Guaranteed Renewal

CSI - Guaranteed Renewal

Arrow - Already Renewed

The Tomorrow People - Guaranteed Cancellation

No Scripted Programming Available

Revolution - Guaranteed Cancellation

Law & Order: SVU - Guaranteed Renewal

Chicago P.D. - Guaranteed Renewal