Primetime Ratings, Tuesday, 5/20/14

 

 

NBC won the 18-49 demo battle, while ABC drew the most total viewers.

'The Voice's sixth season finale shot up seven tenths from last week, earning a 3.3. That sounds great on paper, but it's also down over a full point from last spring's 4.4 finale rating. ABC's competing finale of 'Dancing with the Stars' scored a 2.4, down three tenths from last spring's 2.7.

A special Wednesday airing of 'American Idol' posted a 1.7, way up from the 0.6 the season finale of FOX's 'Glee' earned in the same slot last week. The series premiere of much buzzed about new reality series 'I Wanna Marry Harry' disappointed in a big way, earning a woeful 0.7 demo, and losing nearly 70% of 'Idol's lead-in audience. 'Joe Millionaire' this definitely isn't.

A 'Judge Judy Primetime' special earned about what most expected for CBS, posting a 0.9 in the 18-49 demo, and just under 5.7 million total viewers. The 'ACM: All-Star Salute to the Troops' country music special also earned a 0.9.

As for The CW, the ninth season finale of network elder statesman 'Supernatural' jumped up a very healthy three tenths to a 1.1, becoming the only CW finale to break the 1.0 barrier. This caps off 'SPN's highest rated season since the Lucifer/Michael apocalypse arc that dominated year five.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

8PM

NBC - The Voice (Recap) - 1.9 - 7 - 7.52

ABC - Dancing with the Stars (Recap) - 1.7 - 6 - 11.64

FOX - American Idol (N) - 1.7 - 6 - 6.76

CBS - Judge Judy Primetime (Special) - 0.9 - 3 - 5.57

CW - Supernatural (R) - 0.5 - 2 - 1.11

9PM

NBC - The Voice (Season Finale) - 3.3 - 10 - 11.69

ABC - Dancing with the Stars (Season Finale) - 2.4 - 7 - 15.07

CW - Supernatural (Season Finale) - 1.1 - 3 - 2.30

CBS - ACM Presents: An All-Star Salute to the Troops (Special) - 0.9 - 3 - 4.45

FOX - I Wanna Marry Harry (Series Premiere) - 0.7 - 2 - 1.91

Source: Nielsen Media Research

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

Supernatural - Renewed (No Prediction Made) Season Finale: 5/20/14

Growing Up Fisher - Canceled (Incorrectly Predicted) Series Finale: 5/28/14

Final 2013-2014 Season Prediction Stats

ABC - Correct: 17, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 5

Renewals

Correct

Castle, The Goldbergs, Grey's Anatomy, Last Man Standing, Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.
The Middle, Modern Family, Once Upon a Time, Resurrection, Revenge, Scandal

Incorrect

Nashville

Cancellations

Correct

Mind Games, Mixology, The Neighbors, OUaT in Wonderland, Super Fun Night, Trophy Wife

Incorrect

Suburgatory

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

The Assets, Back in the Game, Betrayal, Killer Women, Lucky 7

CBS - Correct: 18, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 2

Renewals

Correct

2 Broke Girls, The Big Bang Theory, Blue Bloods, Criminal Minds, CSI, Elementary, The Good Wife
Hawaii Five-0, The Millers, NCIS, NCIS: Los Angeles, Person of Interest, Two and a Half Men

Incorrect

The Mentalist, Mom

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Unforgettable

Cancellations

Correct

Bad Teacher, The Crazy Ones, Friends with Better Lives, Hostages, Intelligence

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

We Are Men

CW - Correct: 5, Incorrect: 1, Ineligible: 5

Renewals

Correct

The 100, Hart of Dixie

Incorrect

Beauty and the Beast

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Arrow, The Originals, Reign, Supernatural, The Vampire Diaries

Cancellations

Correct

The Carrie Diaries, Star-Crossed, The Tomorrow People

FOX - Correct: 8, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 7

Renewals

Correct

Brooklyn Nine-Nine, New Girl

Incorrect

The Following, The Mindy Project

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Bob's Burgers, Bones, Family Guy, Glee, Sleepy Hollow, The Simpsons

Cancellations

Correct

Almost Human, Dads, Enlisted, Raising Hope, Rake, Surviving Jack

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

American Dad (Moving to TBS)

NBC - Correct: 11, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 5

Renewals

Correct

About a Boy, Chicago Fire, Chicago P.D., Grimm, Hannibal
Law & Order: SVU, Parenthood, Parks and Recreation

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

The Blacklist

Cancellations

Correct

Believe, Crisis, Dracula, Revolution

Incorrect

Community, Growing Up Fisher

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Ironside, The Michael J. Fox Show, Sean Saves the World, Welcome to the Family

Overall Stats - Correct: 60, Incorrect: 9, Ineligible: 24

Final Accuracy Rate: 87%