Primetime Ratings, Sunday, 5/18/14

 

 

ABC won Sunday in all measures.

'America's Funniest Home Videos' began the night by matching last week's 1.6. The 2014 edition of the 'Billboard Music Awards' impressively matched last year's 3.5, topping the night in both the 18-49 demo and total viewers. Over on the Eye, '60 Minutes' rose two tenths to a 1.3.

The season finale of 'The Amazing Race' bumped up a tenth to a 1.8. The overall season average for the veteran reality competition program is down over 13 percent this year, so it'll be quite interesting to see if next fall's move to Fridays helps or hurts 'Race's fortunes.

'The Good Wife's season finale stayed flat with last week's 1.2, down four tenths from last year's swan song. In much better news, the season finale of 'The Mentalist' rose three tenths to a 1.5, the veteran drama's best rating since mid-April. However, that's down slightly from last year's 1.7. FOX's line-up almost accomplished the rare feat of exactly matching last week's numbers.

'Bob's Burgers' season finale matched last week's 0.9, down a whopping seven tenths from last spring's denouement. 'American Dad's finale matched last week's 1.2, also down seven tenths from last year. 'The Simpsons' capper came in even with last week's 1.6, falling half a point from Season 24's climax. 'Family Guy's finale dipped a tenth to a 2.0, also falling half a point from last year's wrap-up. 'Cosmos' matched last week's series low of 1.1.

NBC had an absolutely dreadful night, making one wonder why the Peacock didn't just air the next episodes of 'Crisis' and 'Believe' instead. A Coldplay special, 'Ghost Stories,' earned an anemic 0.4. 'American Dream Builders' matched its previous series low of 0.5. An encore presentation of 'The Women of SNL' special rose to a 0.8, but still didn't better what Believe and Crisis regularly posted.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

7PM

ABC - America's Funniest Home Videos (N) - 1.6 - 6 - 6.80

CBS - 60 Minutes (N) - 1.3 - 5 - 9.91

FOX - Bob's Burgers (Season Finale) - 0.9 - 4 - 1.95

NBC - Coldplay: Ghost Stories (N) - 0.4 - 2 - 1.60

7:30PM

FOX - American Dad (Season Finale) - 1.2 - 4 - 2.36

8PM

ABC - 2014 Billboard Music Awards (N) - 3.5 - 10 - 10.74

CBS - The Amazing Race (Season Finale) - 1.8 - 5 - 8.22

FOX - The Simpsons (Season Finale) - 1.6 - 5 - 3.28

NBC - American Dream Builders (N) - 0.5 - 1 - 1.77

8:30PM

FOX - Family Guy (Season Finale) - 2.0 - 6 - 3.88

9PM

CBS - The Good Wife (Season Finale) - 1.2 - 3 - 9.14

FOX - Cosmos: A Spacetime Odyssey (N) - 1.1 - 3 - 3.24

NBC - The Women of SNL (R) - 0.8 - 2 - 2.54

10PM

CBS - The Mentalist (Season Finale) - 1.5 - 4 - 9.69

Source: Nielsen Media Research

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

The Good Wife - Renewed (Correctly Predicted) Season Finale: 5/18/14

The Mentalist - Renewed (Incorrectly Predicted) Season Finale: 5/18/14

Bob's Burgers - Renewed (No Prediction Made) Season Finale: 5/18/14

American Dad - Moving to TBS (No Prediction Made) Season Finale: 5/18/14

The Simpsons - Renewed (No Prediction Made) Season Finale: 5/18/14

Family Guy - Renewed (No Prediction Made) Season Finale: 5/18/14

Believe - Canceled (Correctly Predicted) Season Finale: 6/15/14

Crisis - Canceled (Correctly Predicted) Season Finale: 6/15/14

Final 2013-2014 Season Prediction Stats

ABC - Correct: 17, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 5

Renewals

Correct

Castle, The Goldbergs, Grey's Anatomy, Last Man Standing, Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.
The Middle, Modern Family, Once Upon a Time, Resurrection, Revenge, Scandal

Incorrect

Nashville

Cancellations

Correct

Mind Games, Mixology, The Neighbors, OUaT in Wonderland, Super Fun Night, Trophy Wife

Incorrect

Suburgatory

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

The Assets, Back in the Game, Betrayal, Killer Women, Lucky 7

CBS - Correct: 18, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 2

Renewals

Correct

2 Broke Girls, The Big Bang Theory, Blue Bloods, Criminal Minds, CSI, Elementary, The Good Wife
Hawaii Five-0, The Millers, NCIS, NCIS: Los Angeles, Person of Interest, Two and a Half Men

Incorrect

The Mentalist, Mom

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Unforgettable

Cancellations

Correct

Bad Teacher, The Crazy Ones, Friends with Better Lives, Hostages, Intelligence

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

We Are Men

CW - Correct: 5, Incorrect: 1, Ineligible: 5

Renewals

Correct

The 100, Hart of Dixie

Incorrect

Beauty and the Beast

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Arrow, The Originals, Reign, Supernatural, The Vampire Diaries

Cancellations

Correct

The Carrie Diaries, Star-Crossed, The Tomorrow People

FOX - Correct: 8, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 7

Renewals

Correct

Brooklyn Nine-Nine, New Girl

Incorrect

The Following, The Mindy Project

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Bob's Burgers, Bones, Family Guy, Glee, Sleepy Hollow, The Simpsons

Cancellations

Correct

Almost Human, Dads, Enlisted, Raising Hope, Rake, Surviving Jack

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

American Dad (Moving to TBS)

NBC - Correct: 11, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 5

Renewals

Correct

About a Boy, Chicago Fire, Chicago P.D., Grimm, Hannibal
Law & Order: SVU, Parenthood, Parks and Recreation

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

The Blacklist

Cancellations

Correct

Believe, Crisis, Dracula, Revolution

Incorrect

Community, Growing Up Fisher

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Ironside, The Michael J. Fox Show, Sean Saves the World, Welcome to the Family

Overall Stats - Correct: 60, Incorrect: 9, Ineligible: 24

Final Accuracy Rate: 87%