Primetime Ratings, Wednesday, 5/14/14

 

 

CBS won Wednesday night in all measures.

'Survivor' bumped up two tenths to a 2.6. The season finale of 'Criminal Minds' shot up a whopping four tenths to a 2.7, coming very close to matching the 2.8 earned by last year's finale. The 500th episode of FOX's 'American Idol' jumped up three tenths to a 2.1.

ABC had an up night all around, with 'The Middle' starting things off by rising three tenths to a 1.9. The series finale of 'Suburgatory' rose three tenths to a 1.6, coming up just short of the 1.7 drawn by last year's season capper. 'Modern Family' increased three tenths of its own, posting a 3.2.

The now canceled 'Mixology' matched last week's 1.3. The season finale of 'Nashville,' a show I'm still pretty surprised got renewed, rose a single tenth to a 1.3. That's down six tenths from the 1.9 scored by last spring's swan song. Numbers like that are why I predicted it would be canceled.

The penultimate episode of NBC's 'Revolution' rose a single tenth to a 1.2. 'Law & Order: SVU' also increased one tenth, earning a 1.6. 'Chicago P.D.' kept the Peacock's pattern going, rising a tenth to a 1.5. As for The CW, 'Arrow's season finale rose one tenth to a 0.9, tying 2013's conclusion. 'The 100' matched last week's 0.6.

Key: Broadcast Network - Show Name - 18-49 Rating - 18-49 Share - Total Viewers In Millions

8PM

CBS - Survivor (N) - 2.6 - 9 - 9.93

FOX - American Idol (N) - 2.1 - 6 - 8.93

ABC - The Middle (N) - 1.9 - 7 - 7.14

NBC - Revolution (N) - 1.2 - 4 - 3.91

CW - Arrow (Season Finale) - 0.9 - 3 - 2.37

8:30PM

ABC - Suburgatory (Series Finale) - 1.6 - 5 - 5.23

9PM

ABC - Modern Family (N) - 3.2 - 10 - 9.08

CBS - Criminal Minds (Season Finale) - 2.7 - 8 - 12.03

NBC - Law & Order: SVU (N) - 1.6 - 5 - 5.42

CW - The 100 (N) - 0.6 - 2 - 1.73

9:30PM

ABC - Mixology (N) - 1.3 - 4 - 3.99

10PM

NBC - Chicago P.D. (N) - 1.5 - 5 - 6.06

CBS - CSI (R) - 1.4 - 4 - 8.08

ABC - Nashville (Season Finale) - 1.3 - 4 - 5.24

Source: Nielsen Media Research

PRIMETIME PROGNOSTICATION

Brace yourself faithful readers, as Primetime Prognostication is about to do some house cleaning. With cancellation/renewal decisions for every scripted broadcast network show now in, every show that has already aired all its episodes for this season is being removed from its network's respective section, to make room for soon to premiere summer series.

As further shows end their seasons, they too will be removed from their corresponding sections. I've also cleaned up and updated my final prediction stats chart for the 2013-2014 TV season, which can be viewed at the bottom. That will stay put until the end of May. I will continue to make predictions for all scripted summer programs, and start the whole thing over in the fall.

The five main factors I consider when making a prediction are thus:

1. Does the show win its timeslot, and how often? (CW shows are exempt from this criteria.)

2. How do the show's ratings compare to similar programs on the same network? (Self explanatory.)

3. How long has the show been on the air? (Veteran series are always more likely to get renewed.)

4. Does the show have any high-profile leads? (Never discount star power.)

5. How much does the show cost to make? (Approximately, exact TV budgets are hard to come by.)

The Middle - Renewed (Correctly Predicted) Season Finale: 5/21/14

Suburgatory - Canceled (Incorrectly Predicted) Series Finale: 5/14/14

Modern Family - Renewed (Correctly Predicted) Season Finale: 5/21/14

Mixology - Canceled (Correctly Predicted) Series Finale: 5/21/14

Nashville - Renewed (Incorrectly Predicted) Season Finale: 5/14/14

Criminal Minds - Renewed (Correctly Predicted) Season Finale: 5/14/14

Arrow - Renewed (No Prediction Made) Season Finale: 5/14/14

The 100 - Renewed (Correctly Predicted) Season Finale: 6/11/14

Revolution - Canceled (Correctly Predicted) Series Finale: 5/21/14

Law & Order: SVU - Renewed (Correctly Predicted) Season Finale: 5/21/14

Chicago P.D. - Renewed (Correctly Predicted) Season Finale: 5/21/14

Final 2013-2014 Season Prediction Stats

ABC - Correct: 17, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 5

Renewals

Correct

Castle, The Goldbergs, Grey's Anatomy, Last Man Standing, Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.
The Middle, Modern Family, Once Upon a Time, Resurrection, Revenge, Scandal

Incorrect

Nashville

Cancellations

Correct

Mind Games, Mixology, The Neighbors, OUaT in Wonderland, Super Fun Night, Trophy Wife

Incorrect

Suburgatory

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

The Assets, Back in the Game, Betrayal, Killer Women, Lucky 7

CBS - Correct: 18, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 2

Renewals

Correct

2 Broke Girls, The Big Bang Theory, Blue Bloods, Criminal Minds, CSI, Elementary, The Good Wife
Hawaii Five-0, The Millers, NCIS, NCIS: Los Angeles, Person of Interest, Two and a Half Men

Incorrect

The Mentalist, Mom

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Unforgettable

Cancellations

Correct

Bad Teacher, The Crazy Ones, Friends with Better Lives, Hostages, Intelligence

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

We Are Men

CW - Correct: 5, Incorrect: 1, Ineligible: 5

Renewals

Correct

The 100, Hart of Dixie

Incorrect

Beauty and the Beast

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Arrow, The Originals, Reign, Supernatural, The Vampire Diaries

Cancellations

Correct

The Carrie Diaries, Star-Crossed, The Tomorrow People

FOX - Correct: 8, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 7

Renewals

Correct

Brooklyn Nine-Nine, New Girl

Incorrect

The Following, The Mindy Project

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Bob's Burgers, Bones, Family Guy, Glee, Sleepy Hollow, The Simpsons

Cancellations

Correct

Almost Human, Dads, Enlisted, Raising Hope, Rake, Surviving Jack

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

American Dad (Moving to TBS)

NBC - Correct: 11, Incorrect: 2, Ineligible: 5

Renewals

Correct

About a Boy, Chicago Fire, Chicago P.D., Grimm, Hannibal
Law & Order: SVU, Parenthood, Parks and Recreation

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

The Blacklist

Cancellations

Correct

Believe, Crisis, Dracula, Revolution

Incorrect

Community, Growing Up Fisher

Ineligible - Decided Prior to Primetime Prognostication's Debut

Ironside, The Michael J. Fox Show, Sean Saves the World, Welcome to the Family

Overall Stats - Correct: 60, Incorrect: 9, Ineligible: 24

Final Accuracy Rate: 87%